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Executive Summary

St. Patrick’s Day holds its place as a widely celebrated cultural moment in the U.S., with participation and spending showing steady consistency. The latest Prosper Insights & Analytics survey, conducted in February 2026, offers a snapshot of how Americans plan to mark the occasion this year.

An estimated 60.4% of adults plan to celebrate St. Patrick’s Day in 2026, placing it between Halloween and Valentine’s Day in terms of participation.

Taken together, the findings suggest that St. Patrick’s Day continues to function less as a heritage-driven holiday and more as a social and seasonal retail occasion, anchored in shared traditions and everyday consumption habits.

 

Green, Gatherings, and Grocery Spend: St. Patrick’s Day Trends

By Dr. Martin Block, Professor Emeritus, Northwestern University, Retail Analytics Council

St. Patrick’s Day has become a popular American holiday. St. Patrick’s Day is among the topics covered by Prosper Insights & Analytics, which conducts monthly online surveys that collect data about annual events and related market behavior. St. Patrick’s Day celebration was asked in the February 2026 survey (n=7,901). In response to the question, “Will you celebrate St. Patrick’s Day this year, 60.4% of all adults said yes. As shown in Table 1, St. Patrick’s Day ranks between Halloween and Valentine’s Day.  Participation rate is down slightly from 2025.

Table 1: Seasonal Holiday Participation

 

Month Holiday Percent
January Super Bowl 79.9
February Valentine’s Day 54.6
March St. Patrick’s Day 60.4
April Easter 80.7
May Mother’s Day 84.2
June Father’s Day 75.4
Graduation 33.6
July 4th of July 87.2
August/September Back to School 40.1
October Halloween 72.4
November Thanksgiving Shopping 74.3
December Winter Holidays 92.8
Christmas 85.3

Recent St. Patrick’s Day History

The rate of anticipated celebration of St. Patrick’s Day has increased slightly over the past ten years, as shown in Figure 1. The rate dropped in 2021, no doubt related to COVID-19, and has increased steadily since. In 2026, the rate dropped slightly but has remained relatively consistent over the last four years.

Figure 1: St. Patrick’s Day Celebration Trends

St. Patrick's Day Celebration Trends Line Graph.

Plans for celebrating St. Patrick’s Day are shown in Table 2. Wearing green is the leading activity, followed by dinners, social activities, and parties. Decorating a home or office is reported by 1 in 4, with attending a parade well down the list.  These are almost identical to the planned activities reported in 2025.

Table 2: Celebration Plans

Percent
Wear green 78.5
Make a special dinner 25.7
Attend a party at a bar/restaurant 25.4
Decorate home or office 23.9
Attend a private party 17.7
Attend a parade 15.0
Host a party 14.9

The reasons to celebrate are shown in Table 3.  After tradition, the most mentioned reason is that it is a social activity. Only about 1 in 4 say it is part of their Irish heritage.

Table 3: Reasons to Celebrate

Percent
It’s a fun tradition 72.6
It’s a social thing to do with friends 41.6
I like the food 33.5
It’s part of my Irish heritage 24.9
It’s my favorite holiday 6.4

Food and beverage dominate spending plans among those celebrating St. Patrick’s Day, as shown in Table 4. Apparel, accessories and decorations are second to edibles. Interestingly, food and beverage are up slightly from 2025. Greeting cards and gifts are relatively unimportant compared to other holidays.

Table 4: Planned St. Patrick’s Day Spending

Percent
Food 53.5
Beverages 44.5
Apparel or accessories 28.0
Decorations 25.5
Candy 17.6
Greeting cards 8.0
Gifts 6.2

 

As shown in Table 5, most of the planned spending will be in a grocery or discount store.  Again, almost identical to 2025.

Table 5: Where Will St. Patrick’s Day Spend Occur

Percent
Grocery Store 38.7
Discount Store 26.4
Bar/Restaurant 21.8
Department Store 19.9
Online 16.0
Local/Small Business 11.8
Specialty Store (Greeting Card/Gift Store, Electronics Store) 10.0
Specialty Clothing Store 9.2
Drug Store 6.2
Catalog 1.3


St. Patrick’s Day Celebrators

A classification regression tree (CRT) is a reasonable way to determine some of the characteristics of the St. Patrick’s Day celebrator. Using the overall proportion of 60.4%, gender, generation, income, and the presence of children, the tree estimates the relative proportion. Figure 2 shows the first split by generation: Boomers and Seniors at 44.8%, and Gen Z, Millennials, and Gen X  at 66.9%. Celebrating St. Patrick’s Day appears to be strongly related to generation.   The variables explaining the tree are shown by their relative importance in Table 6.  The importance is shown as the average proportion change, then with a percentage calculated by the top variable generation. Income and the presence of children are the next most important variables.

Table 6: Importance of Demographic Predictors of Celebrators

Independent Variable Importance Normalized Importance
Generation 0.023 100.0
Children 0.007 30.6
Income 0.006 24.5
Gender 0.001 3.8

 

Figure 2: St. Patrick’s Day Celebrators Segmentation Tree

St. Patrick’s Day Celebrators Segmentation Tree

The planned spending has steadily increased, as shown in Figure 3. The 2026 average spend is $50.80, up from $48.04 in 2025. The average annual growth rate is $0.81.  Celebrators are anticipating a $2.76 increase for essentially the same items over 2025.

Figure 3: Average Planned Spend

Average Planned Spend Bar Graph

Respondents were asked if they planned any major purchases within the next six months, compared to those planning to celebrate St. Patrick’s Day, as shown in Table 7.  An index is calculated by comparing the proportion of adults planning a purchase among those celebrating St. Patrick’s Day with the proportion of all adults. In every category, the celebrators out-plan the overall with an average index of 118.0.  The highest indices are for a smartwatch (126.8) and stereo equipment (126.3).  The closest is vacation travel with an index of 101.7, although the most planned spend is at 17.3%.

Table 7:  Major Purchase Plans in Next 6 Months by Celebrating St. Patrick’s Day

Celebrators Total Index
 Vacation Travel 17.6 17.3 101.7
 Computer 18.2 15.1 120.5
 Mobile Device 14.8 12.5 118.4
 TV 13.7 11.7 117.1
 Home Appliances 13.1 11.0 119.1
 Furniture 11.7 9.8 119.4
 Major Home Improvement or Repair 9.6 8.2 117.1
 Smartwatch 10.4 8.2 126.8
 Jewelry/Watch 8.8 7.0 125.7
 House 6.4 5.1 125.5
 Stereo Equipment 4.8 3.8 126.3
 DVD/Blu-ray Player 3.6 3.0 120.0
 RV/Boat 3.1 2.5 124.0
 Digital Camera 3.1 2.5 124.0
 Digital Voice Assistants (Amazon Echo 2.7 2.3 117.4
Average 9.4 8.0 118.0

Summary

St. Patrick’s Day ranks between Halloween and Valentine’s Day in participation rate. Celebrating the day has increased over the last nine years. Spending is also up, although for essentially the same items as last year. Generation is the strongest predictor of planning to celebrate. Celebrators plan to buy more and shop more.